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Super Tuesday: Obama and Clinton neck and neck

Last Updated Feb 2008


By Zenitha Prince and Monroe Anderson

AFRO Staff Writers

 

The Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns are in a full court press in a spirited attempt to see who will outscore who for the most amount of votes and delegates in the 22 states holding presidential primaries and caucauses on Feb. 5.


Dubbed "Super Tuesday," the electoral tsunami, with its 1,681 Democratic delegates, was believed to be the be-all and end-all in deciding the party's candidate for president. A total of 2,025 delegates, just 344 more than are at stake on Tuesday, are needed to secure the Democratic nomination.

 

However, the battle for the Democratic nomination is too-close-to-call in what is virtually a two-person contest between the candidate who would be the party's first African American standard bearer and the candidate who would be the party's first woman standard nominee.

Clinton appears to be the frontrunner early. While national polls show her with a slightly less than 10 percent lead, they also indicate that she has a double digit leads in California, New York and New Jersey.  Meanwhile, Obama has a big lead in Illinois, another state with a lot of delegates.

But that doesn’t necessary predict who will win, as polls showed in New Hampshire, where Obama was predicted to win that state’s primary but loss by a small margin.

 

"This will be a good tight race to the end," said Bob Mulholland, campaign advisor with the  California Democratic Party. 

 

With 6.6 million residents, Obama, a senator from Illinois, and Clinton, a senator from New York, along with third-place challenger, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, are all battling over California's 441 delegates.

 

"We will pick the winner because we're so big and it will reflect what is happening all over the country,” Mulholland said.  California polls are the last to close and we're the ones everyone will be waiting to hear about." 


While his belief was orthodoxy just weeks ago, with split decisions in the contests thus far–Obama won Iowa and South Carolina, Clinton won New Hampshire and Nevada–there is increased speculation that the Democratic contest will extend beyond Feb. 5.

 

Unlike the Republican Party contests,  which operates frequently on a winner-take-all rule, the Democratic system requires partial proportional representation based on the vote.

 

That rule stems out of Rev. Jesse L. Jackson's 1984 presidential run, when he fought the Democrats' winner-take-all rule, arguing that it disenfranchised voters who had not favored the candidate with the most ballots cast. 

 

As a direct result of Jackson's efforts, Obama would still be in the race if he can keep close to Clinton in the delegate count when the Super Tuesday results come in.

 

“The big thing that the media has ignored is the Democratic Party requires that all their primaries delegate delegates proportionally,” said Richard Katz, professor of political science at Johns Hopkins University.  So even if one candidate comes out three or four points ahead, they may get the same number of delegates.”

 

Obama has a very real chance to secure the party nomination in the weeks to come, according to the civil rights leader's son, Rep. Jesse L. Jackson, Jr, who has endorsed Obama.

 

Obama, coming out of a landslide victory in South Carolina, has big momentum heading into Super Tuesday, Jackson said.            

 

"He's best positioned to get more votes," Jackson said.

 

The Illinois congressman said that the strong endorsements earlier this week from Caroline Kennedy, daughter of the slain President John F. Kennedy, and his brother, Sen. Ted Kennedy, should help the Illinois senator garner votes.

 

David Bositis, senior analyst, Joint Center for Economic and Political Studies, said he expects Obama to do well in southern states, like Georgia and Alabama, that have large African-American populations.

 

“At one point, Hillary was doing as well, if not better, among Blacks,” Bositis said. 

 

“So it’s not just about race.  But they think that the Clintons have introduced race into the campaign, which they did not like.”

 

Arnold Fleischmann is professor of political science at the University of Georgia in a sate where the Democratic candidates will be fighting for 103 delegates.

 

“As I listen to middle-class Black voters and liberal White voters, there’s support for Obama and real disgust with Clinton, and especially her husband,” he said. 

 

Georgia has some experience with experienced Black officials who are capable of leading. So, it’s probably not that big of an obstacle for Georgians to vote for Obama.”

 

Clinton and Obama have been advertising heavily in the states with radio, television and print ads.

 

Katz said at this point the race is too close to call between Obama and Clinton.

 

“I think between now and Tuesday is a long time in politics, and it’s hard to assess what is going to happen given the unhappiness among Democrats with the way the Clinton campaign has comported itself and the Kennedy endorsement of Obama,” Katz said. 

 

“My guess is that although it will cost her some votes, but she will come out marginally ahead.”

 


 

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Super Tuesday: Obama and Clinton neck and neck

Last Updated Feb 2008


By Zenitha Prince and Monroe Anderson

AFRO Staff Writers

 

The Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns are in a full court press in a spirited attempt to see who will outscore who for the most amount of votes and delegates in the 22 states holding presidential primaries and caucauses on Feb. 5.


Dubbed "Super Tuesday," the electoral tsunami, with its 1,681 Democratic delegates, was believed to be the be-all and end-all in deciding the party's candidate for president. A total of 2,025 delegates, just 344 more than are at stake on Tuesday, are needed to secure the Democratic nomination.

 

However, the battle for the Democratic nomination is too-close-to-call in what is virtually a two-person contest between the candidate who would be the party's first African American standard bearer and the candidate who would be the party's first woman standard nominee.

Clinton appears to be the frontrunner early. While national polls show her with a slightly less than 10 percent lead, they also indicate that she has a double digit leads in California, New York and New Jersey.  Meanwhile, Obama has a big lead in Illinois, another state with a lot of delegates.

But that doesn’t necessary predict who will win, as polls showed in New Hampshire, where Obama was predicted to win that state’s primary but loss by a small margin.

 

"This will be a good tight race to the end," said Bob Mulholland, campaign advisor with the  California Democratic Party. 

 

With 6.6 million residents, Obama, a senator from Illinois, and Clinton, a senator from New York, along with third-place challenger, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, are all battling over California's 441 delegates.

 

"We will pick the winner because we're so big and it will reflect what is happening all over the country,” Mulholland said.  California polls are the last to close and we're the ones everyone will be waiting to hear about." 


While his belief was orthodoxy just weeks ago, with split decisions in the contests thus far–Obama won Iowa and South Carolina, Clinton won New Hampshire and Nevada–there is increased speculation that the Democratic contest will extend beyond Feb. 5.

 

Unlike the Republican Party contests,  which operates frequently on a winner-take-all rule, the Democratic system requires partial proportional representation based on the vote.

 

That rule stems out of Rev. Jesse L. Jackson's 1984 presidential run, when he fought the Democrats' winner-take-all rule, arguing that it disenfranchised voters who had not favored the candidate with the most ballots cast. 

 

As a direct result of Jackson's efforts, Obama would still be in the race if he can keep close to Clinton in the delegate count when the Super Tuesday results come in.

 

“The big thing that the media has ignored is the Democratic Party requires that all their primaries delegate delegates proportionally,” said Richard Katz, professor of political science at Johns Hopkins University.  So even if one candidate comes out three or four points ahead, they may get the same number of delegates.”

 

Obama has a very real chance to secure the party nomination in the weeks to come, according to the civil rights leader's son, Rep. Jesse L. Jackson, Jr, who has endorsed Obama.

 

Obama, coming out of a landslide victory in South Carolina, has big momentum heading into Super Tuesday, Jackson said.            

 

"He's best positioned to get more votes," Jackson said.

 

The Illinois congressman said that the strong endorsements earlier this week from Caroline Kennedy, daughter of the slain President John F. Kennedy, and his brother, Sen. Ted Kennedy, should help the Illinois senator garner votes.

 

David Bositis, senior analyst, Joint Center for Economic and Political Studies, said he expects Obama to do well in southern states, like Georgia and Alabama, that have large African-American populations.

 

“At one point, Hillary was doing as well, if not better, among Blacks,” Bositis said. 

 

“So it’s not just about race.  But they think that the Clintons have introduced race into the campaign, which they did not like.”

 

Arnold Fleischmann is professor of political science at the University of Georgia in a sate where the Democratic candidates will be fighting for 103 delegates.

 

“As I listen to middle-class Black voters and liberal White voters, there’s support for Obama and real disgust with Clinton, and especially her husband,” he said. 

 

Georgia has some experience with experienced Black officials who are capable of leading. So, it’s probably not that big of an obstacle for Georgians to vote for Obama.”

 

Clinton and Obama have been advertising heavily in the states with radio, television and print ads.

 

Katz said at this point the race is too close to call between Obama and Clinton.

 

“I think between now and Tuesday is a long time in politics, and it’s hard to assess what is going to happen given the unhappiness among Democrats with the way the Clinton campaign has comported itself and the Kennedy endorsement of Obama,” Katz said. 

 

“My guess is that although it will cost her some votes, but she will come out marginally ahead.”

 


 

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U Street Washington D.C. November 4, 2008
Photos: K.M. Vance
November 4, 2008: Election News

Super Tuesday: Obama and Clinton neck and neck

Last Updated Feb 2008


By Zenitha Prince and Monroe Anderson

AFRO Staff Writers

 

The Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns are in a full court press in a spirited attempt to see who will outscore who for the most amount of votes and delegates in the 22 states holding presidential primaries and caucauses on Feb. 5.


Dubbed "Super Tuesday," the electoral tsunami, with its 1,681 Democratic delegates, was believed to be the be-all and end-all in deciding the party's candidate for president. A total of 2,025 delegates, just 344 more than are at stake on Tuesday, are needed to secure the Democratic nomination.

 

However, the battle for the Democratic nomination is too-close-to-call in what is virtually a two-person contest between the candidate who would be the party's first African American standard bearer and the candidate who would be the party's first woman standard nominee.

Clinton appears to be the frontrunner early. While national polls show her with a slightly less than 10 percent lead, they also indicate that she has a double digit leads in California, New York and New Jersey.  Meanwhile, Obama has a big lead in Illinois, another state with a lot of delegates.

But that doesn’t necessary predict who will win, as polls showed in New Hampshire, where Obama was predicted to win that state’s primary but loss by a small margin.

 

"This will be a good tight race to the end," said Bob Mulholland, campaign advisor with the  California Democratic Party. 

 

With 6.6 million residents, Obama, a senator from Illinois, and Clinton, a senator from New York, along with third-place challenger, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, are all battling over California's 441 delegates.

 

"We will pick the winner because we're so big and it will reflect what is happening all over the country,” Mulholland said.  California polls are the last to close and we're the ones everyone will be waiting to hear about." 


While his belief was orthodoxy just weeks ago, with split decisions in the contests thus far–Obama won Iowa and South Carolina, Clinton won New Hampshire and Nevada–there is increased speculation that the Democratic contest will extend beyond Feb. 5.

 

Unlike the Republican Party contests,  which operates frequently on a winner-take-all rule, the Democratic system requires partial proportional representation based on the vote.

 

That rule stems out of Rev. Jesse L. Jackson's 1984 presidential run, when he fought the Democrats' winner-take-all rule, arguing that it disenfranchised voters who had not favored the candidate with the most ballots cast. 

 

As a direct result of Jackson's efforts, Obama would still be in the race if he can keep close to Clinton in the delegate count when the Super Tuesday results come in.

 

“The big thing that the media has ignored is the Democratic Party requires that all their primaries delegate delegates proportionally,” said Richard Katz, professor of political science at Johns Hopkins University.  So even if one candidate comes out three or four points ahead, they may get the same number of delegates.”

 

Obama has a very real chance to secure the party nomination in the weeks to come, according to the civil rights leader's son, Rep. Jesse L. Jackson, Jr, who has endorsed Obama.

 

Obama, coming out of a landslide victory in South Carolina, has big momentum heading into Super Tuesday, Jackson said.            

 

"He's best positioned to get more votes," Jackson said.

 

The Illinois congressman said that the strong endorsements earlier this week from Caroline Kennedy, daughter of the slain President John F. Kennedy, and his brother, Sen. Ted Kennedy, should help the Illinois senator garner votes.

 

David Bositis, senior analyst, Joint Center for Economic and Political Studies, said he expects Obama to do well in southern states, like Georgia and Alabama, that have large African-American populations.

 

“At one point, Hillary was doing as well, if not better, among Blacks,” Bositis said. 

 

“So it’s not just about race.  But they think that the Clintons have introduced race into the campaign, which they did not like.”

 

Arnold Fleischmann is professor of political science at the University of Georgia in a sate where the Democratic candidates will be fighting for 103 delegates.

 

“As I listen to middle-class Black voters and liberal White voters, there’s support for Obama and real disgust with Clinton, and especially her husband,” he said. 

 

Georgia has some experience with experienced Black officials who are capable of leading. So, it’s probably not that big of an obstacle for Georgians to vote for Obama.”

 

Clinton and Obama have been advertising heavily in the states with radio, television and print ads.

 

Katz said at this point the race is too close to call between Obama and Clinton.

 

“I think between now and Tuesday is a long time in politics, and it’s hard to assess what is going to happen given the unhappiness among Democrats with the way the Clinton campaign has comported itself and the Kennedy endorsement of Obama,” Katz said. 

 

“My guess is that although it will cost her some votes, but she will come out marginally ahead.”

 


 

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LONG LINES IN D.C. METRO AREA

Wyatt Green of Largo, Md. reads a newspaper at Largo Senior High School while waiting to cast his ballot with 10-year-old daughter Relle.  (Photo by Khalid Naji Allah)
 
 
Prince George’s County residents wait to vote outside of Bowie State University’s McKeldin Center.
(Photo by Ben Phillips)
 
 
Bowie McKeldin Center Polling Site
(Photo by Ben Phillips) 
 
 
Helen Brown Hands out literature at Bowie State McKeldin Polling.   (Photo by Ben Phillips)
 
 
A supporter for D.C. at Large City Council Incumbant Kwame Brown prepares to set up a campaign literature post near Howard University.  (Photo by Dorothy Rowley)
 
 
Tanisha Brown (left) and Shani Ossutt, both 18-year-old D.C. residents, were ecstatic about being able to vote for the first time.  (Photo by Dorothy Rowley)
 
 
Maria Augburn and Tairon Dingle arrive at a voting precinct in D.C. Ward 5.  (Photo by Dorothy Rowley)
 
 
Bennie Murray, 84, is assisted to his polling place in D.C. by his daughter Velinia Daniels, 46, of Fort Washington, Md.  (Photo by Dorothy)
 
Voters wrap around the perimeter of Friendly High School in Fort Washington, Md.  (Photo by Alan King)